In the FCS Huddle: Best class? Put up your Dukes

NCAA Football Betting Lines

02/01/2012 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The axiom for college recruiting is for a particular university to keep the top high school players from its state at home in its signing class.

The Virginia-laden roster of James Madison University football speaks a lot toward veteran head coach Mickey Matthews and his assistants annually delivering on this notion.

But when the Dukes reach outside the state, they reach with big intentions.

This year's recruiting success both in and out of Virginia has given JMU arguably the best class in the Football Championship Subdivision. The CAA Football program has secured the highest number of two- and three-star recruits according to the nation's three main recruiting web sites, ESPN, Rivals and Scout.

"We're really doing a nice job," Matthews said in announcing the recruiting class Wednesday.

"We have a great group of salesmen in our assistant football coaches. These guys have been with me for a while, they know what I'm looking for, they know what our schemes are offensively and defensively. So we feel very good about this year's group."

Evaluating recruiting classes is an inexact science because it's all on paper. It could be four, five years before we will get the true answer of who has come up biggest this year.

Still, there's no disputing JMU has enjoyed recruiting success not just against the old CAA guard, but Old Dominion's rising program, which also is having a banner recruiting year.

The Dukes' 14-member class includes Virginia recruits Dylan Stallings, a 6- foot-4, 210-pound defensive end out of Yorktown and Grafton High; Justin Baker, a 6-foot, 255-pound defensive end out of Ashburn and Briar Woods High; and Rhakeem Stallings, a 6-foot, 210-pound outside linebacker out of Chesapeake and Oscar Smith High.

Matthews and his staff, whose team went 8-5 and reached the second round of the FCS playoffs this past season, rolled into Maryland to get 6-6, 245-pound quarterback Ian Fisher from Brunswick High and yet another defensive end, 6-4, 240-pound Silas Ademola from Bladensburg High.

The Dukes even went into CAA rival Delaware's hometown and grabbed 6-1, 185- pound quarterback Taylor Reynolds from Newark High.

In addition, Maryland transfers Titus Till, a 6-2, 200-pound safety, and Jeremiah Wilson, a 5-10, 185-pound cornerback - both redshirt sophomores - are enrolled already and will be a part of spring practices.

Oh, yes, they're celebrating in Harrisonburg.

James Madison 2012 Recruiting Class

Player (Pos) HT WT Hometown (High School) ------------ -- -- ----------------------

Silas Ademola DL 6-4 240 Bladensburg, MD (Bladensburg)

Justin Baker DL 6-0 255 Ashburn, VA (Briar Woods)

John Barillo LB 6-1 215 Ventnor, NJ (St. Augustine Prep)

Michael Birdsong QB 6-4 220 Matoaca, VA (Matoaca)

Xavier Crocker CB 5-10 175 Mechanicsville, VA (Hanover)

Ian Fisher QB 6-6 245 Brunswick, MD (Brunswick)

Mitchell Kirsch OL 6-5 265 Kensington, MD (St. John's College)

Taylor Reynolds QB 6-1 185 Newark, DE (Newark)

Dylan Stallings TE/DL 6-4 210 Yorktown, VA (Grafton)

Rhakeem Stallings LB 6-0 210 Chesapeake, VA (Oscar Smith)

Gage Steele LB 6-0 210 Front Royal, VA (Warren)

*Titus Till S 6-2 200 Upper Marlboro, MD (Wise/Maryland)

Kwe'shon Williams ATH 5-10 160 Norfolk, VA (Norview)

Jeremiah Wilson* DB 5-10 185 Winchester, VA (Handley/Maryland)

* - denotes transfer

OTHER TOP CLASSES

At Portland State, head coach Nigel Burton's recruiting class doesn't feature only key players from Oregon, it has some of the best within the city.

Portland's larger size helps increase the talent pool, but Burton clearly has been the man with a plan since arriving at the Big Sky school after the 2009 season. After a competitive first season with some tight losses in 2010, he led the Vikings to their first winning record since 2006 with a 7-4 mark this past season.

Portland State has done an excellent job of marketing itself within the city and the payoff includes this year's recruiting haul led by 6-1, 230-pound linebacker Daniel Halverson from Grant High. He's come aboard with high school teammate Jamarr Graves, a 6-3, 190-pound wide receiver.

Another Portland standout, 5-11, 205-pound wide receiver/defensive back Nicholas Rothstein from Jesuit High also is part of the class.

The Vikings' announced class didn't include, as expected, stud defensive tackle Tyrone Holmes from Eagle Point, Ore., but they should get an impact from seven transfers, including five from junior colleges.

Appalachian State has put together an outstanding class as it tries to reload following an 8-4 campaign that saw the end of a six-year run as Southern Conference champion. Since then, there has been a big turnover on head coach Jerry Moore's staff.

ASU added one of this year's top FCS running back recruits in 6-foot, 190- pound running back Tysean Holloway out of Asheville, N.C. He's enrolled already.

The Mountaineers also stayed in-state for 5-11, 175-pound cornerback Aaron Krah out of Durham and Hillside High.

Moore and Co., though, did some of their best recruiting in Georgia - sorry, Georgia Southern fans - with a haul that includes cornerback Dante Blackmon (5-11, 185) from Covington Eastside; defensive tackle Darian Small (6-2, 285) from Hampton Dutchtown; wide receiver Malachi Jones (6-1, 180) from Lawrenceville Central Gwinnett; and tight end Barrett Burns (6-4, 220) from Woodstock Etowah.

Villanova always does some of the best recruiting in the FCS, and despite suffering through their first losing season since 2005 - a 2-9 record - veteran coach Andy Talley should have another top group of newcomers.

The Wildcats had yet to announce their class by mid-afternoon Wednesday, but the talent is expected to be particularly widespread, including two key linebackers from Pennsylvania, Langhorne's Corey Majors (6-1, 230), who is spending a prep year at Worcester (Mass.) Academy, and West Chester Henderson's Ted White (6-2, 221), as well as wide receiver Mike Burke (6-3, 205) from Columbia (Pa.) Columbia Junior/Senior.

The Wildcats' recruiting reached into New Jersey for cornerback Mark Clements, a 5-10, 170-pounder out of Mays Landing and Oakcrest High. They also went north to Connecticut for Danbury linebacker Austin Calitro (6-2, 220) and south to Maryland for Clarksville River Hill running back Aaron Wells (5-9, 178) and to Florida for Orange Park Fleming Island linebacker Cameron McCurry (5-11, 215).

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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